Monday, July 13, 2015

Finally the True Contest Can Start

With Scott Walker now formally announcing his candidacy for the GOP nomination we have the two candidates in the race that the Republican party really wanted to see all along.

Namely Scott and Jeb!

All the other people running are just providing the background noise for the campaign. And of course with only 10 being able to get on the stage for the first Fox led debate, at least seven will be out before they get out of their starting blocks.

So it comes down to a Tale of Two Governors. As it was always going to be.

Scott, with his proven purist conservative credentials - a man who has gotten shit done and survived a leftie-inspired recall election. He will surely prove to be a formidable opponent to Jeb! with tremendous appeal to the party base. But will his brand of scorched earth conservatism prove palatable to a wider electorate? It is hard for me to think so.

So Walker's tactic has to be to burn Jeb! on not being ideologically pure enough. And then once he has the nomination, to run away from all the positions he has espoused to that point, to "appeal to the middle". Because if he does not tone down the rhetoric, his chances of being President are just about zero.

And Jeb! has to the hoe the row of the completely opposite strategy.

Jeb! has to lurch to the right during the nomination process. He has to prove he is the "True Conservative" and hammer away at his record as Florida Governor. All while forgetting he ever heard the words "Common Core", "Immigration" or "Mexico". If he can push his most conservative achievements as Governor and not suffer any mishaps ( aka Rick Perry Moments ), then the nomination will be his. He has been The One from the beginning as far as the GOP is concerned.

So if Jeb! does manage to convince the party faithful his is conservative enough and he gets the nomination, then he just has to forget everything he said to that point and revert to being Florida Moderate Man: John Ellis Bush. Then the Presidency should at least hove into view for him.

The GOP race now is finally starting. Hillary is probably more fearful of Jeb! than Walker, simply because Walker's record is so unambiguously to the right of Jeb's and harder to muddy up in the roiling electoral waters to come.

My mantra of #NoBushesNoClintons remains. But only a fool would think it impossible that both Hillary and Jeb! cannot get their party nominations.